The Influence Of The Fundamental Factor On The Share Price Of Banking Issuers On The Indonesia Stock Exchange With Return On Assets As A Meodrating Variable

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The Influence of Fundamental Factors on Banking Issuer Stock Prices on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with Return On Assets as Moderating Variables

Introduction

The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) is one of the largest stock exchanges in Southeast Asia, with a wide range of banking issuers listed on it. The price of these banking issuers is influenced by various factors, including market conditions, economic indicators, and fundamental factors. This study focuses on the influence of several banking performance indicators, such as Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Non-Performing Loan (NPL), Net Interest Margin (NIM), Operational Costs for Operating Income (BOPO), Efficiency Ratio (EFF), and Cost of Income Ratio (CIR), on the share price of banking issuers with Return on Assets (ROA) as a moderating variable.

Research Background

The research was conducted by taking a sample of 19 banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, out of a total of 30 issuers. Purposive sampling method was applied in sampling with an analysis period between 2005 and 2009. By using moderating regression analysis by residual method, this study aims to find out how much influence the fundamental factors on stock prices and how ROA functions as a moderating variable that can strengthen or weaken the relationship between these variables.

The Importance of Fundamental Factors

Fundamental factors are essential in determining the price of banking issuers. These factors include CAR, LDR, NPL, NIM, BOPO, EFF, and CIR. CAR is an important indicator that shows how well banks can absorb potential losses. LDR shows efficiency in lending compared to the funds raised, while NPLs provide an overview of the quality of assets owned by banks. NIM reflects the ability of banks to generate income from assets owned. BOPO, EFF, and CIR provide indications of bank operational efficiency in generating profits.

The Role of Return on Assets (ROA)

ROA is an indicator of the overall performance of the bank. It shows how efficient the bank's management is to use its assets to generate profits. When ROA is high, this indicates that banks are able to generate more profits from each asset unit owned. Thus, in the context of investment, a high ROA can attract investors, which in turn can contribute to an increase in stock prices.

Research Methodology

This study used a moderating regression analysis by residual method to analyze the relationship between fundamental factors and stock prices. The sample consisted of 19 banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, with an analysis period between 2005 and 2009.

Research Results

The results showed that all variables studied - CAR, LDR, NPL, NIM, BOPO, EFF, and CIR - have a significant influence on the share price of banking issuers listed on the IDX. This means that when one of the fundamental factors has changed, the price of banking issuers will also be affected. In addition, ROA is proven to act as a moderating variable that strengthens the relationship between NIM and NPLs to stock prices. In other words, the better the ROA performance of a bank, the stronger the influence of NIM and NPL on its share price.

Additional Analysis

The results of this study have several implications for investors and policymakers. Firstly, investors need to consider the fundamental factors when making investment decisions in the banking sector. Secondly, policymakers need to ensure that banks maintain a high level of CAR, LDR, and ROA to ensure the stability of the financial system.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study revealed that the fundamental factor has an important role in determining the price of banking issuers in Indonesia. ROA does not only function as an indicator of bank performance, but also as a variable that can strengthen the influence of several fundamental factors on stock prices. Therefore, investors need to consider these fundamental factors when making investment decisions in the banking sector.

Recommendations

Based on the findings of this study, the following recommendations are made:

  1. Investors need to consider the fundamental factors when making investment decisions in the banking sector.
  2. Policymakers need to ensure that banks maintain a high level of CAR, LDR, and ROA to ensure the stability of the financial system.
  3. Banks need to improve their operational efficiency by reducing their operational costs and increasing their net interest margin.

Limitations of the Study

This study has several limitations. Firstly, the sample size is relatively small, consisting of only 19 banking issuers. Secondly, the analysis period is limited to between 2005 and 2009. Thirdly, the study only focuses on the fundamental factors and does not consider other factors that may influence the price of banking issuers.

Future Research Directions

This study provides several directions for future research. Firstly, future studies can use a larger sample size and a longer analysis period to increase the generalizability of the findings. Secondly, future studies can consider other factors that may influence the price of banking issuers, such as market conditions and economic indicators. Thirdly, future studies can use other research methods, such as case studies or surveys, to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the relationship between fundamental factors and stock prices.

Keywords

  • Stock price
  • Capital adequacy ratio (CAR)
  • Loan to deposit ratio (LDR)
  • Non-performing loan (NPL)
  • Net interest margin (NIM)
  • Operational costs for operating income (BOPO)
  • Efficiency ratio (EFF)
  • Cost of income ratio (CIR)
  • Return on assets (ROA)
    Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about the Influence of Fundamental Factors on Banking Issuer Stock Prices on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with Return On Assets as Moderating Variables

Q: What are the fundamental factors that influence the stock price of banking issuers on the Indonesia Stock Exchange?

A: The fundamental factors that influence the stock price of banking issuers on the Indonesia Stock Exchange include Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Non-Performing Loan (NPL), Net Interest Margin (NIM), Operational Costs for Operating Income (BOPO), Efficiency Ratio (EFF), and Cost of Income Ratio (CIR).

Q: What is the role of Return on Assets (ROA) in influencing the stock price of banking issuers?

A: ROA is an indicator of the overall performance of the bank. It shows how efficient the bank's management is to use its assets to generate profits. When ROA is high, this indicates that banks are able to generate more profits from each asset unit owned. Thus, in the context of investment, a high ROA can attract investors, which in turn can contribute to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: CAR is an important indicator that shows how well banks can absorb potential losses. A high CAR indicates that a bank has sufficient capital to absorb potential losses, which can increase investor confidence and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: LDR shows efficiency in lending compared to the funds raised. A high LDR indicates that a bank is able to lend more efficiently, which can increase its profitability and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Non-Performing Loan (NPL) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: NPLs provide an overview of the quality of assets owned by banks. A high NPL indicates that a bank has a high level of non-performing loans, which can decrease investor confidence and lead to a decrease in stock prices.

Q: How does the Net Interest Margin (NIM) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: NIM reflects the ability of banks to generate income from assets owned. A high NIM indicates that a bank is able to generate more income from its assets, which can increase its profitability and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Operational Costs for Operating Income (BOPO) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: BOPO provides an indication of bank operational efficiency in generating profits. A high BOPO indicates that a bank is able to generate more profits from its operations, which can increase its profitability and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Efficiency Ratio (EFF) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: EFF provides an indication of bank operational efficiency in generating profits. A high EFF indicates that a bank is able to generate more profits from its operations, which can increase its profitability and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: How does the Cost of Income Ratio (CIR) influence the stock price of banking issuers?

A: CIR provides an indication of bank operational efficiency in generating profits. A high CIR indicates that a bank is able to generate more profits from its operations, which can increase its profitability and lead to an increase in stock prices.

Q: What are the implications of this study for investors and policymakers?

A: The results of this study have several implications for investors and policymakers. Firstly, investors need to consider the fundamental factors when making investment decisions in the banking sector. Secondly, policymakers need to ensure that banks maintain a high level of CAR, LDR, and ROA to ensure the stability of the financial system.

Q: What are the limitations of this study?

A: This study has several limitations. Firstly, the sample size is relatively small, consisting of only 19 banking issuers. Secondly, the analysis period is limited to between 2005 and 2009. Thirdly, the study only focuses on the fundamental factors and does not consider other factors that may influence the price of banking issuers.

Q: What are the future research directions for this study?

A: This study provides several directions for future research. Firstly, future studies can use a larger sample size and a longer analysis period to increase the generalizability of the findings. Secondly, future studies can consider other factors that may influence the price of banking issuers, such as market conditions and economic indicators. Thirdly, future studies can use other research methods, such as case studies or surveys, to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the relationship between fundamental factors and stock prices.

Keywords

  • Stock price
  • Capital adequacy ratio (CAR)
  • Loan to deposit ratio (LDR)
  • Non-performing loan (NPL)
  • Net interest margin (NIM)
  • Operational costs for operating income (BOPO)
  • Efficiency ratio (EFF)
  • Cost of income ratio (CIR)
  • Return on assets (ROA)