The Impact Of The Agricultural Sector Investment On The Economy Of North Sumatra (input-output Analysis Approach)

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Introduction

North Sumatra, a province in Indonesia, is known for its rich natural resources and vast agricultural potential. The agricultural sector plays a vital role in the economy of North Sumatra, contributing significantly to the formation of demand and supply structures, household consumption, exports, imports, investment, values added, and output. This study aims to examine the impact of investment on the agricultural sector on the economy of North Sumatra using an input-output analysis approach based on data from 2007.

The Vital Role of the Agricultural Sector

The results of this study show that the agricultural sector has a significant role in the economy of North Sumatra. Its contribution can be seen in various aspects, including:

  • Formation of demand and supply structures: The agricultural sector contributes 16.15% to the formation of demand and supply structures, indicating its importance in shaping the economic landscape of North Sumatra.
  • Household consumption: The sector contributes 15.32% to household consumption, highlighting its impact on the daily lives of North Sumatran residents.
  • Exports: The agricultural sector contributes 4.94% to exports, demonstrating its potential to drive economic growth through international trade.
  • Imports: The sector contributes 2.11% to imports, indicating its reliance on external sources for certain inputs.
  • Investment: The agricultural sector contributes 0.89% to investment, showing its potential to attract capital and drive economic growth.
  • Values added: The sector contributes 26.69% to values added, highlighting its importance in creating economic value.
  • Output: The agricultural sector contributes 16.15% to output, demonstrating its significant impact on the overall economy of North Sumatra.

Sector Linkages and Investment Priorities

Analysis of inter-sector linkages reveals that certain sectors have high and indirect direct linkages, signifying great potential to encourage the growth of other sectors. These sectors include:

  • Cocoa: The cocoa sector has high and indirect direct linkages, indicating its potential to drive economic growth through its connections with other sectors.
  • Rubber: The rubber sector has high and indirect direct linkages, demonstrating its importance in shaping the economic landscape of North Sumatra.
  • Oil palm: The oil palm sector has high and indirect direct linkages, highlighting its potential to drive economic growth through its connections with other sectors.

On the other hand, certain sectors have direct and indirect interrelations, showing their role as important input providers for other sectors. These sectors include:

  • Poultry: The poultry sector has direct and indirect interrelations, indicating its importance as an input provider for other sectors.
  • Rubber: The rubber sector has direct and indirect interrelations, demonstrating its role as an input provider for other sectors.
  • Fisheries: The fisheries sector has direct and indirect interrelations, highlighting its importance as an input provider for other sectors.

Investment Priorities in the Agricultural Sector

This study identifies investment priorities in the agricultural sector, focusing on sectors that have the biggest impact on the formation of outputs, income, and employment creation. These sectors include:

  • Poultry: The poultry sector has the biggest impact on the formation of outputs, indicating its potential to drive economic growth through its connections with other sectors.
  • Rubber: The rubber sector has the biggest impact on income, demonstrating its importance in creating economic value.
  • Palm oil: The palm oil sector has the greatest impact on employment creation, highlighting its potential to drive economic growth through its connections with other sectors.

Simulation of Investment Allocation

Through an investment realization simulation of 10% from the building sector to the agricultural sector, this study shows that this can increase the contribution of the agricultural sector to the formation of output, income, and labor in North Sumatra. This simulation indicates that with a focus on the priority sector, investment in the agricultural sector can have a more optimal impact.

Conclusion and Recommendations

This study provides strong evidence that investment in the agricultural sector, especially in the poultry, rubber, and oil palm sectors, can be the main driver of North Sumatra's economic growth. By paying attention to aspects of inter-sector linkages and prioritizing targeted investments, the potential of the agricultural sector can be maximized to create prosperity and prosperity in this region.

Recommendations for Policymakers and Investors

Based on the findings of this study, policymakers and investors are recommended to:

  • Prioritize investment in the agricultural sector: Investment in the agricultural sector, particularly in the poultry, rubber, and oil palm sectors, can drive economic growth and create prosperity in North Sumatra.
  • Focus on inter-sector linkages: Policymakers and investors should focus on strengthening inter-sector linkages to maximize the potential of the agricultural sector.
  • Targeted investments: Targeted investments in the priority sectors can have a more optimal impact on the economy of North Sumatra.

By following these recommendations, policymakers and investors can create a more prosperous and sustainable future for North Sumatra.
Frequently Asked Questions: The Impact of Agricultural Sector Investment on the Economy of North Sumatra

Q: What is the significance of the agricultural sector in the economy of North Sumatra?

A: The agricultural sector plays a vital role in the economy of North Sumatra, contributing significantly to the formation of demand and supply structures, household consumption, exports, imports, investment, values added, and output.

Q: Which sectors have high and indirect direct linkages in the agricultural sector?

A: The cocoa, rubber, and oil palm sectors have high and indirect direct linkages, signifying great potential to encourage the growth of other sectors.

Q: Which sectors have direct and indirect interrelations in the agricultural sector?

A: The poultry, rubber, and fisheries sectors have direct and indirect interrelations, showing their role as important input providers for other sectors.

Q: What are the investment priorities in the agricultural sector?

A: The investment priorities in the agricultural sector are the poultry, rubber, and palm oil sectors, which have the biggest impact on the formation of outputs, income, and employment creation.

Q: What is the result of the investment realization simulation of 10% from the building sector to the agricultural sector?

A: The simulation shows that this can increase the contribution of the agricultural sector to the formation of output, income, and labor in North Sumatra.

Q: What are the recommendations for policymakers and investors based on the findings of this study?

A: Policymakers and investors are recommended to prioritize investment in the agricultural sector, focus on inter-sector linkages, and make targeted investments in the priority sectors.

Q: How can the potential of the agricultural sector be maximized to create prosperity and prosperity in North Sumatra?

A: By paying attention to aspects of inter-sector linkages and prioritizing targeted investments, the potential of the agricultural sector can be maximized to create prosperity and prosperity in North Sumatra.

Q: What is the main driver of North Sumatra's economic growth according to this study?

A: Investment in the agricultural sector, especially in the poultry, rubber, and oil palm sectors, can be the main driver of North Sumatra's economic growth.

Q: What are the benefits of investing in the agricultural sector in North Sumatra?

A: Investing in the agricultural sector in North Sumatra can drive economic growth, create employment opportunities, and increase income and output.

Q: How can policymakers and investors create a more prosperous and sustainable future for North Sumatra?

A: By following the recommendations outlined in this study, policymakers and investors can create a more prosperous and sustainable future for North Sumatra.