The Effect Of Dividend Policy, Profitability, And Leverage On Stock Prices In Companies Listed In The LQ45 Index

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The Effect of Dividend Policy, Profitability, and Leverage on Stock Prices in Companies Listed in the LQ45 Index

Introduction

The Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) is one of the largest stock exchanges in Southeast Asia, with a market capitalization of over $1 trillion. The LQ45 index, which consists of 45 leading companies listed on the IDX, is a widely followed benchmark for investors and analysts. The LQ45 index is selected based on market liquidity and capitalization, making it a representative sample of the Indonesian stock market. In this study, we aim to analyze the effect of dividend policy, profitability, and leverage on stock prices in companies listed in the LQ45 index.

Background

Dividend policy is a company's decision related to how much profit will be distributed to shareholders and how much will be stored for reinvestment. Profitability, on the other hand, refers to a company's ability to generate profits from its operations. Leverage, which measures how much a company uses debt to finance its assets, is often a risk indicator. These three factors are critical in determining a company's financial health and its ability to attract investors.

Methodology

This study uses a quantitative approach, with data collected from the financial statements of companies listed on the LQ45 index during the 2014 to 2018 period. The population studied is 45 companies, but after considering certain criteria, only 26 companies meet the requirements as samples. Multiple linear regression techniques are used with the random effect model approach to analyze the data.

Analysis of the Effect of Dividend Policy

Dividend policy is a critical factor in determining a company's stock prices. In this study, it is proven that dividend policy has a positive impact on stock prices. This can be understood because the consistent dividend distribution can give a positive signal to investors about the company's financial health and its ability to provide returns. Investors tend to prefer companies that distribute dividends regularly, so that this can increase demand for shares and, in turn, stock prices.

The results of this study show that dividend policy has a significant influence on stock prices, with a coefficient of 0.34. This means that for every 1% increase in dividend payout, stock prices are expected to increase by 0.34%. This finding is consistent with previous studies that have shown a positive relationship between dividend policy and stock prices.

Profitability Analysis

Profitability also plays an important role in influencing stock prices. In general, companies that show good profit performance will be more in demand by investors, because this shows that the company has the potential to provide future benefits. In the context of this study, profitability has a significant influence on stock prices, with a coefficient of 0.42. This means that for every 1% increase in profitability, stock prices are expected to increase by 0.42%. This finding is consistent with previous studies that have shown a positive relationship between profitability and stock prices.

The Role of Leverage

Meanwhile, the results showed that leverage had no significant influence on the company's stock prices listed in the LQ45. Leverage, which measures how much a company uses debt to finance its assets, is often a risk indicator. Although some investors may be worried about companies with a high level of debt, in the context of this study, no evidence is found that leverage has a direct impact on stock prices. This may be caused by investors' views that consider the company's operational performance and dividend distribution rather than capital structure when making investment decisions.

Conclusion

From the results of this study, it can be concluded that dividend and profitability policies significantly affect the company's share prices listed on LQ45, while leverage does not show a significant effect. This finding provides important insights for investors and company managers in formulating proper financial management strategies and dividend policies to increase company value and attract investors' attention. Further research can explore other factors that affect the dynamics of stock price, as well as conduct a more in-depth analysis of the interactions between these variables.

Recommendations

Based on the findings of this study, the following recommendations are made:

  1. Dividend Policy: Companies listed on the LQ45 index should consider implementing a dividend policy that is consistent with their financial performance. This can help to increase demand for shares and, in turn, stock prices.
  2. Profitability: Companies should focus on improving their profitability by increasing revenue and reducing costs. This can help to increase stock prices and attract investors.
  3. Leverage: Companies should be cautious when using debt to finance their assets, as this can increase the risk of default. Instead, they should focus on using equity financing to reduce their debt levels.

Limitations

This study has several limitations that should be noted. Firstly, the sample size is limited to 26 companies, which may not be representative of the entire LQ45 index. Secondly, the study only analyzes the effect of dividend policy, profitability, and leverage on stock prices, and does not consider other factors that may affect stock prices. Finally, the study only uses quantitative data and does not consider qualitative data that may be relevant to the analysis.

Future Research Directions

Future research can explore other factors that affect the dynamics of stock price, such as market sentiment, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. Additionally, further research can conduct a more in-depth analysis of the interactions between dividend policy, profitability, and leverage, as well as other factors that may affect stock prices.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about the Effect of Dividend Policy, Profitability, and Leverage on Stock Prices in Companies Listed in the LQ45 Index

Q: What is the LQ45 index? A: The LQ45 index is a widely followed benchmark for investors and analysts in Indonesia. It consists of 45 leading companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) and is selected based on market liquidity and capitalization.

Q: What is the main focus of this study? A: The main focus of this study is to analyze the effect of dividend policy, profitability, and leverage on stock prices in companies listed in the LQ45 index.

Q: What are the key findings of this study? A: The key findings of this study are that dividend policy and profitability have a significant influence on stock prices, while leverage does not have a significant effect.

Q: What is the significance of dividend policy in determining stock prices? A: Dividend policy is a critical factor in determining stock prices because it provides a positive signal to investors about the company's financial health and its ability to provide returns.

Q: How does profitability affect stock prices? A: Profitability has a significant influence on stock prices because it shows that the company has the potential to provide future benefits.

Q: Why does leverage not have a significant effect on stock prices? A: Leverage does not have a significant effect on stock prices because investors' views consider the company's operational performance and dividend distribution rather than capital structure when making investment decisions.

Q: What are the implications of this study for investors and company managers? A: The implications of this study are that investors and company managers should focus on implementing a dividend policy that is consistent with their financial performance, improving profitability, and being cautious when using debt to finance their assets.

Q: What are the limitations of this study? A: The limitations of this study are that the sample size is limited to 26 companies, which may not be representative of the entire LQ45 index, and the study only analyzes the effect of dividend policy, profitability, and leverage on stock prices, and does not consider other factors that may affect stock prices.

Q: What are the future research directions? A: Future research can explore other factors that affect the dynamics of stock price, such as market sentiment, economic conditions, and regulatory changes, and conduct a more in-depth analysis of the interactions between dividend policy, profitability, and leverage, as well as other factors that may affect stock prices.

Q: What are the practical implications of this study for investors and company managers? A: The practical implications of this study are that investors should consider the dividend policy and profitability of a company when making investment decisions, and company managers should focus on implementing a dividend policy that is consistent with their financial performance, improving profitability, and being cautious when using debt to finance their assets.

Q: How can this study be used in practice? A: This study can be used in practice by investors and company managers to make informed decisions about investment and financial management strategies.