Mary Drives To Work Each Morning, And The Trip Takes An Average Of $\mu=38$ Minutes. The Distribution Of Driving Times Is Approximately Normal With A Standard Deviation Of $\sigma=5$ Minutes. For A Randomly Selected Morning, What Is

Feb 25, 2025 by ADMIN 233 views

**Understanding the Normal Distribution of Driving Times**

Introduction

In this article, we will delve into the world of statistics and explore the concept of the normal distribution. We will use a real-life scenario to illustrate how the normal distribution can be applied to understand the behavior of a random variable. Mary drives to work each morning, and the trip takes an average of $\mu=38$ minutes. The distribution of driving times is approximately normal with a standard deviation of $\sigma=5$ minutes. For a randomly selected morning, we want to find the probability that Mary's driving time will be less than 40 minutes.

The Normal Distribution

The normal distribution, also known as the Gaussian distribution or bell curve, is a probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean. In the case of Mary's driving times, the normal distribution can be represented by the following probability density function:

f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma \sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{1}{2} \left( \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma} \right)^2}

where $x$ is the driving time, $\mu$ is the mean driving time, and $\sigma$ is the standard deviation of the driving times.

Properties of the Normal Distribution

The normal distribution has several important properties that make it a useful tool for understanding the behavior of random variables. Some of the key properties of the normal distribution include:

Symmetry: The normal distribution is symmetric about the mean, which means that the probability of observing a value less than the mean is equal to the probability of observing a value greater than the mean.
Bell-shaped curve: The normal distribution has a bell-shaped curve, which means that the probability of observing a value near the mean is higher than the probability of observing a value far from the mean.
Mean and standard deviation: The mean and standard deviation of the normal distribution are the same as the mean and standard deviation of the underlying random variable.

Calculating Probabilities

One of the most important applications of the normal distribution is calculating probabilities. In the case of Mary's driving times, we want to find the probability that her driving time will be less than 40 minutes. To do this, we can use the following formula:

P(X < x) = \Phi \left( \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma} \right)

where $X$ is the driving time, $x$ is the value of interest (in this case, 40 minutes), $\mu$ is the mean driving time, and $\sigma$ is the standard deviation of the driving times.

Using the Z-Score

To calculate the probability that Mary's driving time will be less than 40 minutes, we need to calculate the Z-score, which is a measure of how many standard deviations away from the mean a value is. The Z-score can be calculated using the following formula:

Z = \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}

In this case, the Z-score is:

Z = \frac{40-38}{5} = 0.4

Finding the Probability

Now that we have the Z-score, we can use a standard normal distribution table or calculator to find the probability that Mary's driving time will be less than 40 minutes. The probability is:

P(X < 40) = \Phi(0.4) = 0.6554

Conclusion

In this article, we used the normal distribution to understand the behavior of Mary's driving times. We calculated the probability that her driving time will be less than 40 minutes using the Z-score and a standard normal distribution table. The probability is approximately 0.6554, which means that there is a 65.54% chance that Mary's driving time will be less than 40 minutes.

Real-World Applications

The normal distribution has many real-world applications, including:

Finance: The normal distribution is used to model stock prices and returns.
Engineering: The normal distribution is used to model the behavior of mechanical systems.
Biology: The normal distribution is used to model the behavior of populations.

Limitations of the Normal Distribution

While the normal distribution is a powerful tool for understanding the behavior of random variables, it has several limitations. Some of the key limitations of the normal distribution include:

Assumes symmetry: The normal distribution assumes that the data is symmetric about the mean, which may not always be the case.
Assumes bell-shaped curve: The normal distribution assumes that the data follows a bell-shaped curve, which may not always be the case.
Does not account for outliers: The normal distribution does not account for outliers, which can have a significant impact on the behavior of the data.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the normal distribution is a powerful tool for understanding the behavior of random variables. It has many real-world applications, including finance, engineering, and biology. However, it also has several limitations, including assuming symmetry and a bell-shaped curve, and not accounting for outliers. By understanding the properties and limitations of the normal distribution, we can use it to make informed decisions and predictions about the behavior of random variables.